Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 0.064416 0.071196 0.078609 0.087352 0.097433 0.108751 0.122500
2024-10-20 0.053845 0.062985 0.073773 0.087605 0.105094 0.126792 0.156260
2024-10-27 0.046254 0.056462 0.069240 0.086741 0.110624 0.142916 0.191433
2024-11-03 0.041506 0.052469 0.066881 0.087768 0.118262 0.162890 0.236800
2024-11-10 0.037879 0.049291 0.064922 0.088708 0.125572 0.183586 0.289062
2024-11-17 0.034627 0.046140 0.062452 0.088316 0.130527 0.201401 0.341949
2024-11-24 0.032331 0.044023 0.061115 0.089283 0.137598 0.224093 0.411682
2024-12-01 0.030410 0.042216 0.059965 0.090271 0.144727 0.248420 0.494424
2024-12-08 0.028709 0.040547 0.058801 0.090989 0.151392 0.273402 0.589949
2024-12-15 0.027062 0.038796 0.057294 0.090860 0.156360 0.296094 0.691251
2024-12-22 0.025420 0.036907 0.055359 0.089681 0.158995 0.314309 0.790298
2024-12-29 0.024477 0.036053 0.055052 0.091414 0.167871 0.349612 0.965630
2025-01-05 0.023026 0.034280 0.053051 0.089764 0.169390 0.367676 1.097738
2025-01-12 0.022100 0.033314 0.052374 0.090616 0.176708 0.403701 1.332891
2025-01-19 0.021037 0.032038 0.051030 0.089961 0.180420 0.431081 1.561087
2025-01-26 0.020323 0.031308 0.050608 0.091145 0.188842 0.475940 1.934839
2025-02-02 0.019647 0.030594 0.050146 0.092179 0.197127 0.524067 2.407758
2025-02-09 0.018848 0.029608 0.049091 0.091785 0.201600 0.561319 2.884181
2025-02-16 0.018277 0.028994 0.048695 0.092811 0.210209 0.618085 3.652047
2025-02-23 0.017748 0.028421 0.048327 0.093854 0.219146 0.681205 4.686283
2025-03-02 0.017224 0.027823 0.047863 0.094613 0.227460 0.746866 6.032982
2025-03-09 0.016646 0.027089 0.047066 0.094477 0.233040 0.803976 7.584558
2025-03-16 0.015999 0.026192 0.045874 0.093236 0.234871 0.844603 9.152079